MegaTrends by Curt
For the Next 10 Years
The following trends are unstoppable. Go with the flow or perish.
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More CPU's/person (they have them in lightbulbs now)
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Faster CPU
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More RAM
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More permanent storage
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Absorb->interact (less TV, more web)
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From mass media to atomized media.
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More resolution
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Smaller,less power
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More portable/mobile
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More color
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More sound/voice
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Less "traditional government" - weaker borders
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The Market is replacing Government
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More choice/market/democracy
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Big company advantages are fading, medium sized companies are winning
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Buyers have all the advantages in a sea of choice. Sellers are screwed.
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Sellers become increasingly shrill, fighting for mindshare in a product
flooded world.
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Products become flashier, more entertaining.
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Richest man today could fund GDP for 1 day vs. 4 months 50 years ago (Gates
vs. Getty). Economic Democratization.
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Accelerating technological change
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More video I/O
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Info drowning will lead to:
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Sophisticated Filters
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Better UI's
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Democratic rating systems ala consumer reports
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Software more important than HW - HW independence
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Java, Python, Perl for example.
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Total Connectivity
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More reliability and robustness
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Better data Assimilation/Integration
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More Bandwidth
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More Ergonomic
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More Bundling/Standardization
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More Multicultural Workforce
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Workers who are better at creatively manipulating information and inspiring
people will be increasingly in demand. Talented employees hold the
cards as employers beg for talent.
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Therefore unions are dying because they hinder, not help, the best workers.
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More Geo-distributed Telecommuters, distributed offices, and virtual corporations
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Richer 3rd world.
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Increasingly Useful and Frightening Genetic Engineering Capabilities with
all Species Including People.
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Decreasing privacy, more government leaks, as technology gradually makes
privacy impossible.
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Better law enforcement as genetic tracing and privacy invasion technologies
become pervasive.